June CPI cools sharply, but the path to a rate cut stays rocky
“Even shelter, long the most stubborn component, cooled to a 0.1% gain, its smallest since January 2021.” The probability of a July rate hike collapsed from 42% to 17% in a single session, per CME FedWatch data, though traders still place roughly 60% odds on a hike by September. Minutes from the June 16–17 […]